A&D Market Digest for Week of 12/18/22

Alex Suslov, Head of Capital Markets, and Billy Abrams, President/CEO of ADM Securities, discuss recent and upcoming trends happening in the capital markets and their impact on the Non-QM market. Check out their discussion.

Market News

• DSNEWS — Average Rent Surpasses $2,000. “Median rent climbed 7.4% in November on a yearly basis to $2,007, its smallest increase in 15 months and now the sixth month in which median annual rent growth has slowed. This information comes from Redfin’s latest Rental Market Tracker Report which found overall that rents are growing at half the pace they were in the summer and this cooling trend is expected to continue—good news in terms of interest rates. “Rent growth is likely to continue cooling,” said Redfin Economics Research Lead Chen Zhao. “Asking rents are already down annually in 14 of the metros Redfin tracks, and we expect declines to become more common in the new year. That should ultimately help slow inflation further. Slow inflation will lead to lower mortgage rates, which should also bring more homebuyers back to the market.”
• NMN — Mortgage delinquency rate will rise 0.5% in 2023: TransUnion. “The rate at which borrowers have been marked consistently late on their mortgages is on track to increase by half a percentage point next year, according to TransUnion. The 60-day-plus delinquency rate will rise to 1.4% by year-end 2023 from an estimated 0.9% this year, the credit bureau forecast. This year’s expected delinquency rate is marginally higher than last year’s 0.8%. The two-month delinquencies tracked by TransUnion typically average around 2% and at their height during the Great Recession’s housing crash they got into the 7% range.”